"Scenario Exploration – Iran" delves into the potential global repercussions of Iran acquiring nuclear weapons by 2025. Since the U.S. withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in 2018, Iran has made significant strides in its nuclear capabilities, enriching uranium to near weapons-grade levels. This development, coupled with reduced cooperation with international monitoring agencies, has heightened concerns about regional and global security. The research outlines the precarious situation, noting that increased sanctions or military actions could further propel Iran's nuclear ambitions. It explores the possibility of a regional arms race, particularly with Saudi Arabia potentially seeking nuclear capabilities in response, and the ensuing geopolitical instability. This instability could disrupt global trade, particularly oil supplies, leading to economic volatility and strained international relations as major powers are drawn into the fray. Dive into this comprehensive analysis to understand the profound implications for global stability and economic conditions, and discover the structured analysis of the potential impacts on trade and supply chains in this meticulously researched book.
